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Channel: Election – Global Risk Insights
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Opinion: Valerie Pecresse: France’s new Challenger for the Elysée

2022 is a significant year for France. France starts the year with the Council of the European Union presidency. France’s agenda for the next six months is ambitious and could begin a new era in Europe...

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A Never-Ending Saga: Kosovo’s Elections

On February 14th, 2021 Kosovo held its sixth parliamentary election in fourteen years. The result was a resounding victory for Albin Kurti and his left-leaning Vetevendosje party, gaining just over 48%...

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After Coalition Collapse, Israel faces its Fourth Election in Two Years

On Tuesday 22 December 2020, the Knesset failed to pass an annual budget, automatically triggering an election. Israelis will head to the polls on 23 March 2021, facing an election during a pandemic...

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Brazil – First 2022 Election Forecast

As the end of 2020 approaches, incipient forecasts about Brazil’s 2022 general election scenario start emerging. As the recent years — and even months — have insistently shown, new facts can easily...

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Bolivia: Mas strikes back: wider implications for the region

In early October, Bolivia’s Movement towards Socialism (MAS) won a landslide victory against opponents in the state’s most general recent elections, with presidential candidate Luis Arce clasping...

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Chile Chooses Change: What October’s Vote Means for the Country

After the outbreak of protests in 2019, calls from Chileans for significant reform to overcome what they saw as an increasingly unequal and corrupt society grew louder and louder. In response, Chile’s...

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Ivory Coast’s Election is Heading Off the Rails

What happened? Cote d’Ivoire’s President Alassane Dramane Ouattara increased the possibility of political instability when he announced in August that he was running for a controversial third term. The...

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Parliamentary elections in Kosovo

On 7 October Kosovo went to the polls. Vetëvendosje was the single largest party. Meaning ‘self-determination’, Vetëvendosje has a history of being a protest movement that has criticised the role of...

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Nikol Pashinyan and the Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict

Earlier in 2018, Nikol Pashinyan made a historic entrance into the helm of Armenian politics after Serzh Sargsyan resigned in the face of large protests. While Pashinyan is making continued efforts to...

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Bosnia and Herzegovina: Elections, but to what end?

Bosnia and Herzegovina held Presidential and Parliamentary elections on 7 October 2018. An ongoing dispute about the electoral law has left the country unable to legally form a government. Despite...

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Latvian elections: Populist success and coalitions

Latvia held a parliamentary election on 6 October. This saw the success of numerous small parties; notable is the arrival of KPV LV, relative newcomers who gained sixteen seats in the hundred seat...

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Judge orders Lula’s imprisonment and markets jump

In a historic decision, the Brazilian Federal Supreme Court may have ended almost any chance for Lula to run for President in Brazil’s October presidential election. Two days after the decision and...

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Paraguay’s agricultural sector: how much is at risk?

Despite the political and economical instability facing South America, the small nation of Paraguay is experiencing growth. This upturn is due to a record soy harvest alongside a number of...

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Corruption allegations take center stage in Malaysian general election campaign

The Malaysian general election campaigning season has been shaken up by the return of Mahathir Mohamad, a former prime minister who intends to challenge the party he once led. His return may be a key...

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Under the Radar: 2017 is a make or break moment for Lesotho

The killing of Lipolelo Thabane, ex-wife of Prime Minister Thomas Thabane on June 14th highlights the country’s instability, coming only two days before the inauguration of Prime Minister Thabane....

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Iranian elections highlight future challenges

Less than two months before Iran elects its next president, the country faces a set of political and economic challenges. The outcome of the elections will have a significant impact at home and will...

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Somalia’s presidential elections: An opportunity for reform

Last Wednesday, Mohamed “Farmajo” Mohamed, a former Prime Minister and a dual Somali-American citizen, was elected President of Somalia. Farmajo defeated former president Hassan Mohamud in the second...

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Under the Radar: East Timor’s $40 billion oil conundrum

East Timor and Australia have agreed to a new maritime border which would give East Timor control of a $40 billion oil field. But not everyone is happy. With the host of maritime disputes in the...

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Forecasting unconventional elections: What can be done?

Despite unforgivable slips in the 2016 US presidential race, the polling industry must be strengthened, not discredited. It remains crucial in an era in which markets are hypersensitive to political...

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The Moldovan election: A quiet country at an important crossroads

Europe is full of loud stories, and yet beneath the noise there are first time democratic elections shifting the tide of East-West relations, like Moldova. Moldova, between Ukraine and Romania, held...

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